Prediction of times and delays for ship handling process based on a transition system

ship scheduling, transition system, process models, time prediction, ship handling, oil terminal

For a long time, the issue of port processes optimization (by means of process management, not through the improvement of port infrastructure) and more accurate predictions for ship scheduling remain relevant. The work addresses primarily the building of a transition system for ship handling at the oil terminal. The main aim of this paper is to find delays and make predictions based on obtained transition system. At the beginning of the article, basic concepts of transition systems and object of study are defined. Furthermore, we describe steps of building of transition system for ship handling process. Next, were comparing transition systems to statistical prediction methods and are pointing its advantages and disadvantages. The paper also presents some further perspectives regarding future developments of a transition system.